ABSTRACT
Objective:To investigate the outcomes and influencing factors of newly diagnosed prediabetic subjects aged 40 years and above in Guiyang.Methods:A total of 10 015 residents aged 40 years and above were recruited from the Yunyan community, Guiyang, from May to August 2011. Physical examination, laboratory measurements, and questionnaires were conducted. The follow-up survey was conducted in July 2014. A total of 2 530 newly diagnosed prediabetic subjects at baseline were included in the analysis.Results:The 3-year cumulative morbidity of diabetes mellitus was 14.3%, and the risk of diabetes mellitus in combined impaired fasting glucose(IFG)and impaired glucose tolerance(IGT)groups was significantly higher than that in isolated IFG(i-IFG)or isolated IGT(i-IGT)group( P<0.01). High baseline fasting plasma glucose, 2 h plasma glucose, and HbA 1C levels were the independent risk factors for the development of diabetes( OR=1.836, 95% CI 1.374-2.454; OR=1.398, 95% CI 1.261-1.550; OR=2.526, 95% CI 1.804-3.538, all P<0.01)and the inhibitory factors for reversion to normal glucose tolerance( OR=0.511, 95% CI 0.409-0.638; OR=0.715, 95% CI 0.661-0.774; OR=0.638, 95% CI 0.500-0.816, all P<0.01). High level of high density lipoprotein-cholesterol(HDL-C)was an promoting factor for reversion to normal glucose tolerance( OR=1.306, 95% CI 1.017-1.678, P=0.036). Subjects in the highest tertile of baseline HbA 1C level and body mass index(BMI)change before and after follow-up(ΔBMI=follow-up BMI minus baseline BMI)had a higher risk of diabetes mellitus than those in the lowest tertile( OR=2.398, 95% CI 1.733-3.322; OR=2.402, 95% CI 1.859-3.105, both P<0.01). The risk of diabetes mellitus in the significant weight loss group was reduced by 40.4% compared with the non-significant weight loss group when the subjects were divided into two groups according to the cutoff of the lower tertile of ΔBMI( RR=0.596, 95% CI 0.463-0.766, P<0.01). Conclusion:The risk of diabetes mellitus in combined IFG/IGT group was significantly higher than that in i-IFG or i-IGT group. High baseline fasting plasma glucose, 2 h plasma glucose, and HbA 1C levels were the independent risk factors for the development of diabetes. High level of HDL-C was an promoting factor for reversion to normal glucose tolerance. Weight loss can significantly reduce the risk of progression to diabetes in individuals with prediabetes.